Tag Archives: Coronavirus

Simple Math and Sharp Acumen on COVID-19

By Hui Xie-Zukauskas

Key_Stay Safe n Sharp_pixabayCPDThe pandemic progression in the U.S. is very troublesome. What concerns me most is that many Americans still don’t take this highly contagious and lethal coronavirus seriously, along with misinformation and confusion clouding people’s heads.

I want to put it very simply—it comes down to math and judgement.

First, let’s go through a quick, elementary math on “99% of cases are harmless.”

Based on Johns Hopkins University tracking data, as of the afternoon of July 20th, the nation has 3,804,907 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 140,811 deaths, with 1.11 million or more people recovering. So, these numbers tell us:

  • Fatality rate is 3.7% (calculation based on confirmed cases here);
  • Recovery rate is 29.2%; and
  • That leaves the rest 67.1% of positive individuals ranging from being asymptomatic, with mild symptoms and some suffering, to hospitalized, critically ill, and struggling for their lives.

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Therefore, it’s clear that these numbers didn’t add up anywhere close to “99% of cases are harmless.” This statement is inaccurate at the very least, and completely false. Misleading people with it is dangerous.

The sad reality is that many of these deaths are avoidable, as proven by facts and data from the U.S. and some parts of the world. Grave consequences can also occur if listening to the self-interest, amoral politician on advocating the use of hydroxychloroquine and injection of disinfectant into the body as a cure. In fact, folks either died or were harmed after heeding that direction.

I can understand the public’s confusion. As new information on COVID-19 is emerging and changing weekly, if not daily, knowledge and our understanding evolve.  So did misinformation and the worst conspiracy.

However, for public health scientists and experts, one core principle will always remain the same—have the best interest of public health in mind, to protect and care for the well-being of the public.

That then leads to one question—whom should I listen to or trust when facing confusion?

Here is a quick and sharp judgmental call: if you want to have happy, long-lasting marriage, would you consult someone who has been divorced ten times? A little overstatement, but you get the picture.

So, if you have an appetite for life, just trust science and medical experts when it comes to your health and life.

Finally, a friendly yet important reminder: Stay safe and wear a mask while out.

P.S. Wearing a mask is a caring act that demonstrates a public health conscience, and not a political statement.

 

Image credit: Pixabay